Posted on Leave a comment

Cyberark’s Stock Price Collapses

By Rick Walter
Updated: 02/13/2020

Cyberark Software Ltd., CYBR stock cratered today after their earnings announcement. I listened in on the company’s webcast on Thursday and the presentation was pretty solid. There was nothing in the webcast that was materially incorrect or shockingly bad. The company reported solid numbers in revenues, gross margins, r & d, sales and marketing, and general and administrative expenses, yet the stock sunk like a stone in a sea of positive earnings announcements.
The company reported earnings per share of .97 per share versus expected fourth-quarter earnings per share of .81 per share, a 20% increase. Revenues came in at $129.66 million versus expected revenues of $126.67 million, 2.36%. Year over Year (Y/Y) revenues were up 27.72% with net income also up 88.39%.

From a valuation metric, the stock was fairly valued as of Wednesday’s price of $138.60. Today’s collapse puts the stock in undervalued territory by at least 10% based on current valuation computations.

We believe based on the line of questioning by analysts on the earnings webcast, that there may be some confusion on whether the company grew earnings per share and revenues by actually adding new customers or manipulated their numbers by reformulating or remixing the pricing of their existing product and product solutions to generate higher revenue fees thereby increasing fourth-quarter earnings per share and revenues.

Is the stock still a buy? We think so based on year over year numbers and because the stock fits our criteria for investment based on their innovative cyber-security products, consistent earnings per share growth and excellent risk management stewardship. However, proceed cautiously.

Posted on Leave a comment

Broadcom continues to deliver!

By Rick Walter

Updated: 01/24/2020

Can Broadcom Inc. (symbol: AVGO) continue to deliver the goods? On December 18th, 2019, the company announced that they were looking to sell one of its wireless-chip units. The move would accelerate the company’s shift away from its roots as a semiconductor maker. According to some company officials, the unit could be worth up to $10 billion. I personally thought that the move generated a confusing long-term growth outlook for the company, because wireless chips have always been the backbone of the company’s core businesses. Selling-off one of the units that generate core revenues for the business, I believe, caught many investors and analysts by surprise. The company’s stock sank from a high of $320 a share to roughly $301 shortly thereafter. However, since we are not privy to the company’s long-term business strategy, certain business moves may at first glance seem odd and confusing to investors looking in. On January 23, 2020, the company recently announced a multi-year supply agreement with Apple Inc. AAPL to provide wireless components for Apple products into 2023, a deal that could generate billions of dollars- $15 billion in revenues. The announcement sent the stock roaring to $329 a share on Thursday January 23, 2020.

Our success as traders and advisors depends on companies like Broadcom. We look for companies that lead by innovation and consistently grow shareholder’s value. Suffice to say, that even though recent business moves by the company may have had investors like us scratching our heads, we still believe that Broadcom Inc. AVGO, still fits the bill of a company that can continue to grow earnings and deliver consistent returns to shareholders over the next five years which bodes well for higher trading profits and better returns on our client portfolios.